Saturday, December 2, 2023

NFL ‘Thanksgiving’ Week 12: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions betting picks, preview

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Turkey Day football kicks off with a classic matchup between NFC North rivals the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions. This time around, it is Detroit that is the much better team, something that has not been the case for about a couple of decades. 

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions betting odds, preview

Spread: Lions -7.5, Over/under: 47, Moneyline: Packers +275 | Lions -350

This spread is going to be inviting for those who play the metrics more than the teams. It makes sense that the Lions are somewhat inflated after last week’s impressive comeback victory too. If they lose that game, this one would definitely be under the magic number of seven. The first game on Thanksgiving is a spot bettors are going to want to be in on too. 

The Packers probably dodged a bullet with former quarterback Aaron Rodgers getting hurt early in the season. I say that because even though the team has struggled, they are not having to see Rodgers and the Jets win week after week so it takes away some of the sting of the whole thing. 

The Lions won easily, 34-20, in the first meeting between these teams this season. They have won and covered in four straight against the Packers. They were just -2.5 in Green Bay back in September. This is a big move and a sign of how much the market believes in Detroit. 

Thanksgiving Football betting picks

Lions -7.5 

Even with an inflated number I still like the Lions. One thing that Detroit keeps proving is that their offense works. They might not always want to need so many points so late in the game, but that group is effective and dynamic.

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